Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 3.226952 3.728094 4.283244 4.944184 5.710176 6.570643 7.611544
2024-10-20 2.521978 3.165474 3.940453 4.943952 6.211352 7.762076 9.808623
2024-10-27 1.931099 2.603527 3.473992 4.686410 6.336805 8.512860 11.613145
2024-11-03 1.660138 2.387137 3.391589 4.886192 7.064081 10.138185 14.836078
2024-11-10 1.472214 2.244144 3.375607 5.163643 7.936352 12.102263 18.892978
2024-11-17 1.285514 2.065958 3.272911 5.287679 8.594562 13.855386 22.954695
2024-11-24 1.113079 1.877255 3.118376 5.296887 9.064059 15.381178 26.922981
2024-12-01 0.938747 1.654436 2.869958 5.103931 9.156486 16.289386 29.997626
2024-12-08 0.793568 1.456505 2.629907 4.880298 9.148155 17.006129 32.837337
2024-12-15 0.715989 1.366128 2.563285 4.955031 9.689037 18.791985 37.986837
2024-12-22 0.626239 1.238543 2.408054 4.834878 9.832984 19.840260 41.859743
2024-12-29 0.595419 1.219935 2.456564 5.120603 10.827218 22.720231 50.019883
2025-01-05 0.549749 1.167503 2.436406 5.276298 11.608617 25.357615 58.316542
2025-01-12 0.498314 1.095189 2.364961 5.312721 12.143845 27.572495 66.138741
2025-01-19 0.430095 0.975911 2.175620 5.057530 11.981170 28.207320 70.393070
2025-01-26 0.406846 0.953713 2.196513 5.288177 12.995337 31.756192 82.545908
2025-02-02 0.390647 0.945248 2.247290 5.598884 14.261654 36.147637 97.800892
2025-02-09 0.365121 0.910351 2.230372 5.740013 15.127954 39.699471 111.590274
2025-02-16 0.335215 0.859891 2.167808 5.754056 15.665866 42.499031 123.904778
2025-02-23 0.297633 0.784019 2.030029 5.546455 15.567821 43.570724 131.471477
2025-03-02 0.263161 0.710982 1.888475 5.304398 15.329288 44.205878 137.867140
2025-03-09 0.246566 0.683655 1.864049 5.386753 16.041967 47.709847 153.957356
2025-03-16 0.223160 0.633916 1.771220 5.256436 16.100656 49.290199 164.238169